The United States intelligence sends SOS to its allies. The US intel warns “We expect that Iran will take risks that could escalate tensions. And will threaten the United States and its allied interests in the coming year”.
Iran’s willingness to conduct attacks probably will hinge on its perception of the United States’ willingness to respond, its ability to conduct attacks without triggering direct conflict, & the prospect of jeopardizing potential US sanctions relief.
US intel cautions that Iran will be reluctant to engage diplomatically in talks with the United States in the near term without sanctions or humanitarian relief.
Iran is not currently undertaking the key nuclear weapons-development activities that we judge would be necessary to produce a nuclear device. Despite having resumed some nuclear activities, as per the expert’s assessment.
