By 2027, Pakistan will have 25% population without access to water. For 70 years, they have not built any further dams or irrigation projects. They are literally running out of water.
Sutlej, Ravi, and Beas which provide 65% of water to the Indus basin are fully tapped and diverted by India. India uses 92% of these 3 rivers.
Modi has planned to make it 100%. They have started almost 15 dams in Kathua – Jammu belt to divert tributaries of Ravi to stop their flow to Pakistan. Chenab officially is not under control but still, we have tapped 25% of its water.
Pakistan has Indus, Chenab, and Jhelum for use. Indus is a dry river as it passes through cold desert Ladakh which has few snows and no rain, Jhelum doesn’t have such huge water to feed Pakistan, this leaves the only Chenab but India has already tapped 25% Chenab water to feed Jammu.
AVERAGE DISCHARGE VALUES OF PAK RIVERS 2020(LITRES/SECOND)
- Indus- 65 lacs L/sec
Chenab 7 lacs L/sec
Jhelum- 2.2 lacs L/sec - Compare this with Ganga (having 97 dams)- average discharge 2020- 6 crore L/sec
For 45 crores population, Pakistan needs some 3 crores L/sec water from Indus if it wants to live by Indian standard. - If India uses another 20%, Indus discharge will decline to 2 lacs L/sec which is even worse than the Godavari river which has 3 lacs L/sec discharge in hot summers.
The Godavari supports some 9 crore people while Indus supports some 17 crore people by 2020. No wonder they want Kashmir for water. By 2025, Indus discharge will decrease to 4 lacs L/sec - This will put the so-called mighty Indus even behind the Krishna river
- They have only 1 big dam on Indus Tarbela Dam that too built by British standards,.
- And they have another Mangla Dam in Mirpur on Jhelum
Tarbela’s capacity has shrunk drastically because of sedimentation over the years. - They don’t have any dam or plan on Chenab (which is officially under their control), while India has built 13 small big dams on Chenab.
- Karachi and Lahore metropolitan cities have 8-9 hours of power cut in summers while Shimla in Himachal has 24 hours power supply.
- They don’t even have enough coal to run thermal power plants while they have 0 nuclear plants. Just compare the population growth of twin cities of Lahore Amritsar which are just 20 km apart
- In 1947, both had 4-6 lacs population. both received equal migrants. Amritsar is at 13 lacs while Lahore at 1.5 crores in 2020. Even if u subtract urban migration, Lahore still has 56 lacs people extra who grew only by breeding.
- Rural KP has 4.8 TFR
Balochistan has 3.7 TFR
Urban Sindh at 2.2
Rural Sind at 3.6
Pak overall has 3.7 TFR
Waziristan belt has 4.9 TFR highest in Pakistan
Karachi is going to look like Dhaka by 2030 - It already has just 15% green cover (Mumbai has 58%, Delhi at 43%), it has a severe shortage of water and power. Excessive concreting has led to an urban thermal effect leading to 49-51°C temperature in summers.
Pakistan as of 2020 produces enough grains to feed just 67% of its population..rest is imported.
- The Consumer Price Index is at 0.8 scales…ie wheat is 90 rs/kg as compared to Rs 14/kg.
- Cheese which is 200-220 rs/kg in India is 1300 rs/kg in Pakistan
Milk which is rs 40/L in India is 514 rs/L - By 2050, their groundwater will decline to 45% while Indian gw will decline to 65%.
China is trying hard to keep them afloat by giving them loans but now even China has stopped giving loans since Pak cannot pay. - Pakistan uses 92% of its revenue to just pay interest on loans (don’t even start on the principal sum lol)
- They are postponing installments
- They paid Saudi installments by getting another loan from China. They are getting loans to pay for another loan.
- By 2023, Pak will have a free fall in its economy similar to Zimbabwe.
This article created by a twitter user goes by the name @porbotialora. You can follow him for more details. Posted here on public interest. Here is the Original thread created by this user @porbotialora.
Pakistan may likely cease to exist by 2030.
— ꯃꯥꯀꯨ (@porbotialora) October 12, 2020
